Wholesale meals costs declined for the second consecutive month in April, based on preliminary information from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Producer Value Index for All Meals – which represents the change in common costs paid to home producers for his or her output – fell 1.5% between March and April.
That adopted a pointy 2.3% drop in March – the biggest single-month decline since February 2023 (-3.0%).
The final 2 months provided restaurant operators a respite from the reemergence of meals inflation that surfaced in 2024. Previous to the March and April declines, the meals value index had risen in 10 of the final 13 months – and eight of these 10 month-to-month positive aspects had been no less than 0.5%.
Regardless of the sizable declines over the last 2 months, common wholesale meals costs remained 4.7% above their year-ago stage. Whereas that was down from the sturdy 9.8% enhance throughout the 12 months ending in February, this prolonged interval of elevated meals prices continues to stress restaurant profitability.
Total, wholesale meals costs stay properly above their pre-pandemic ranges. As of April 2025, the Producer Value Index for All Meals stood 35% above its February 2020 studying.
Whereas common wholesale meals costs dipped over the last 2 months, a number of commodities remained properly above their year-ago ranges. Producer costs for eggs (50.0%), confectionary supplies (26.6%), espresso (20.1%), unprocessed shellfish (9.2%), beef and veal (8.7%), pork (6.2%) and cheese (5.9%) stood above their April 2024 ranges.
On the identical time, there was a level of pricing aid for some commodities in latest months. The worth indices for contemporary greens (-23.4%), unprocessed finfish (-22.8%), butter (-20.0%), refined sugar (-6.8%), fat and oils (-5.2%), milled rice (-4.0%) and wheat flour (-2.5%) had been down from year-ago ranges.
Till wholesale costs begin trending decrease throughout a broad vary of commodities, meals prices will proceed to be a headwind for a lot of eating places.