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New Economic Indicator from Square Shows Wages Continue to Rise, but the Post-Pandemic Job Boom is Over

by TheDailyHotelier
November 9, 2025
in News & Trends
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New Economic Indicator from Square Shows Wages Continue to Rise, but the Post-Pandemic Job Boom is Over
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Right now, Sq. unveiled the Square Payroll Index, a brand new financial indicator that makes use of information from Sq.’s labor administration and payroll processing resolution to offer the newest details about wage progress within the retail and restaurant industries. The Sq. Payroll Index is designed to permit anybody, from enterprise homeowners to policymakers and media, to trace wages and earnings developments nationally and on the metropolitan degree.

Sq. Payroll Index information reveals that, regardless of slowing progress in current months, common hourly earnings, which embrace ideas and additional time pay, proceed to develop quicker than base wages and outpace inflation. In accordance with the Sq. Payroll Index, the median food and drinks employee earned $13.64 per hour in base wages in September, totaling $17.44 together with ideas and additional time. The median retail employee earned $15.80 per hour in base wages, which elevated to $16.31 together with ideas and additional time.

Sq. Payroll processes wages for a whole bunch of hundreds of hourly staff each month, totaling greater than $6 billion in annual payroll and giving Sq. a novel view into wages and earnings for this vital phase of the American economic system. A big share of those workers are retail salespeople and restaurant staff, given Sq.’s power in these verticals, that are among the many commonest occupations in the USA according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

“Retail and restaurant staff, in addition to the companies who make use of them, are a part of the bedrock of the American economic system,” mentioned Saumil Mehta, Sq.’s Head of Level of Sale and Omnichannel. “We all know that hiring and retaining good employees is a persistent problem for our sellers. By tapping into Sq. Payroll information to report on wage progress in these key sectors, we might help our sellers proceed to construct robust groups and likewise add a beneficial new metric to the general public dialog.”

In accordance with the Sq. Payroll Index, progress in common hourly earnings has fallen beneath the 2019 common (5.2% vs. 6.5% in 2019). Whereas base wages proceed to develop at the next charge (4.6% vs. 4.0% in 2019), that progress has cooled in current months and continues to gradual. Nonetheless, Sq. information factors to a robust job marketplace for staff in these sectors.

“The Sq. Payroll Index reveals that, whereas hourly wages proceed to slowly rise, the post-pandemic job market growth is over,” mentioned Ara Kharazian, Sq.’s Analysis and Knowledge Lead. “In accordance with our information, progress in common hourly earnings has fallen since its peak in early 2022 and is now beneath the 2019 common. Regardless of the tip of this growth, our analysis reveals that the job market is powerful, and wage progress has outpaced inflation for the twelfth consecutive month.”

Employees within the food and drinks sector proceed to see quicker progress than staff in retail. This September marks the twelfth consecutive month wherein Sq. Payroll information confirmed progress in common hourly earnings outpacing inflation, final reported at 3.7% for August of 2023.

Methodology: The Sq. Payroll Index measures compensation of service staff within the retail and food and drinks sectors in the USA utilizing information from Sq. Payroll. Our pattern contains greater than 200,000 workers working at retail and food and drinks institutions that use Sq.’s platform. Our methodology is broadly just like that utilized by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s Wage Growth Tracker.



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Tags: BoomContinueEconomicIndicatorJobPostPandemicRiseShowsSquareWages
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